Basho Report ・ 場所レポート

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September (Aki) 2002Day 12 ・ Sep 19

Musashimaru leads alone at 11-1

September (Aki) 2002 has completed day 12. Musashimaru (Yokozuna) leads alone at 11-1.

Championship Race

Kaio, Chiyotaikai, Takanohana trail by one. 3 days remain.

Upsets

Kyokushuzan (Maegashira 11) beat Hokutoriki (Maegashira 6) by Hatakikomi — pre-basho ratings gave just a 27% chance.

Asanowaka (Maegashira 13) beat Aminishiki (Maegashira 7) by Hatakikomi — pre-basho ratings gave just a 32% chance. He had trailed their head-to-head 4-8, which makes it count double.

Kasuganishiki (Maegashira 10) beat Shimotori (Maegashira 2) by Tsukiotoshi — pre-basho ratings gave just a 32% chance. He had trailed their head-to-head 7-12, which makes it count double.

Ozeki Watch

Ozeki Chiyotaikai, bidding for yokozuna, stands at 10-2 — 3 wins short of the 13-win benchmark.

Kadoban ozeki Tochiazuma has been absent since day one. With no path to a winning record, demotion to sekiwake is certain.

Kadoban ozeki Kaio reached 10-2 to clear kadoban status.

Kadoban ozeki Musoyama stands at 7-5 — 1 more win needed with 3 days left.

解説 ・ InsightChiyotaikai's last two basho: 11 wins, then 14 (champion) — 25 in total. Against the "back-to-back championship-level" standard, another title-class run is required here.

His rating of 2572 is at career-peak level (2589) — the rating says he is knocking on the door.

This is Tochiazuma's first kadoban.

His pre-basho rating of 2490 sits 203 points below his peak of 2693 — the decline shows in the numbers.

This is kadoban No. 3 — he has survived all 2 previous ones.

His pre-basho rating of 2452 sits 216 points below his peak of 2668 — the decline shows in the numbers.

This is kadoban No. 2 — he survived 0 of 1, and fell 1 time.

At 2450, his rating remains near his career peak of 2497 — no sign of decline in the data.

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