Basho Report ・ 場所レポート
Torikumi for this day →Futeno, Kinkaiyama, Kokkai, Wakanosato, Hokutoriki, Asashoryu share the lead at 7 wins
May (Natsu) 2004 has completed day 8. Futeno, Kinkaiyama, Kokkai, Wakanosato, Hokutoriki, Asashoryu share the lead at 7-1.
Championship Race
Hakuho, Tamanoshima, Kaio trail by one. 7 days remain.
解説 ・ InsightIf Futeno, Kinkaiyama, Kokkai, Hokutoriki holds on, it would be the first maegashira championship since Mitoizumi in July (Nagoya) 1992.
Upsets
Futeno (Maegashira 15) beat Tosanoumi (Maegashira 9) by Hikiotoshi — pre-basho ratings gave just a 28% chance.
Ozeki Watch
Ozeki Chiyotaikai's yokozuna bid is over at 5-3 — the 13-win benchmark is out of reach.
Ozeki Kaio, bidding for yokozuna, stands at 6-2 — 7 wins short of the 13-win benchmark.
Kadoban ozeki Tochiazuma has been absent since day one. With no path to a winning record, demotion to sekiwake is certain.
解説 ・ InsightChiyotaikai's last two basho: 10 wins, then 13 — 23 in total. Against the "back-to-back championship-level" standard, another title-class run is required here.
His rating of 2588 is at career-peak level (2589) — the rating says he is knocking on the door.
Kaio's last two basho: 10 wins, then 13 — 23 in total. Against the "back-to-back championship-level" standard, another title-class run is required here.
This is kadoban No. 6 — he survived 3 of 5, and fell 2 times.
His pre-basho rating of 2443 sits 250 points below his peak of 2693 — the decline shows in the numbers.
- Ozeki Chiyotaikai5-3 ・ yokozuna bid
- Ozeki Kaio6-2 ・ yokozuna bid
- Ozeki Tochiazuma0-0-8 ・ kadoban #6――――――――
Tomorrow’s Bouts to Watch
- Asashoryu (Yokozuna, 7-1) vs Kotonowaka (Maegashira 5, 4-4) →head-to-head: Asashoryu leads 11-4; the rating model gives Asashoryu 91%; Thrower vs Thrower — style matchup is even
- Musoyama (Ozeki, 4-4) vs Wakanosato (Sekiwake, 7-1) →head-to-head: Musoyama leads 17-8; the rating model gives Musoyama 45%; Forward Pusher vs Thrower — style matchup slightly favors Wakanosato
- Miyabiyama (Komusubi, 1-7) vs Hokutoriki (Maegashira 1, 7-1) →head-to-head: Miyabiyama leads 12-6; the rating model gives Miyabiyama 57%