Basho Preview ・ 場所前展望
Banzuke →Kaio chases the rope at November (Kyushu) 2004
November (Kyushu) 2004 opens on November 14. After going 11-4 two basho ago, ozeki Kaio took the last one at 13-2. The standard is "back-to-back championships, or the equivalent" — stay at the front of the race here, and the rope becomes real.
Banzuke Notes
Yokozuna Asashoryu went 9-6 last basho and anchors the field again.
Ozeki Chiyotaikai went 8-7 last basho and looks to build on it.
In the sanyaku ranks, Tochinonada moves up to Komusubi after going 11-4 at Maegashira 3.
- Yokozuna Asashoryulast basho 9-6
- Ozeki Chiyotaikailast basho 8-7
- Komusubi Tochinonadalast basho Maegashira 3, 11-4
Rope Run & Kadoban
After going 11-4 two basho ago, ozeki Kaio took the last one at 13-2. The standard is "back-to-back championships, or the equivalent" — stay at the front of the race here, and the rope becomes real. His pre-basho rating of 2654 sits at career-peak level — the numbers back the ability.
Meanwhile, ozeki Musoyama, after finishing 2-7-6 last basho, enters this one kadoban. It is kadoban No. 7 — he survived 5 of 6, but fell to sekiwake 1 time. The numbers add to the worry: his rating of 2337 sits 160 points below his peak of 2497, just No. 17 in makuuchi — thin for an ozeki. Can he summon the rank's pride anyway?
Meanwhile, ozeki Tochiazuma, after finishing 2-2-11 last basho, enters this one kadoban. It is kadoban No. 7 — he survived 3 of 6, but fell to sekiwake 3 times. His pre-basho rating of 2465 is 228 points off his peak of 2693 — yet still the No. 6 figure in makuuchi. The ability is there; the question is the record.
- Ozeki Kaiolast basho 13-2 ・ champion ・ yokozuna bid
- Ozeki Musoyamalast basho 2-7-6 ・ kadoban #7
- Ozeki Tochiazumalast basho 2-2-11 ・ kadoban #7
New Faces in Makuuchi
Making their makuuchi debut: Harumafuji, Kisenosato.
Returning to makuuchi: Kasugao, Tokitenku, Toki.
- Maegashira 14 Harumafujidebut
- Maegashira 15 Kasugaoreturning
- Maegashira 15 Tokitenkureturning
- Maegashira 16 Kisenosatodebut
- Maegashira 17 Tokireturning
Title Contenders (Rating)
Kaio tops the pre-basho ELO chart at 2654. On the numbers, these five headline the title race.
解説 ・ InsightKaio has climbed from a rating of 2464 to 2654 over the past year — the momentum is real.
Just 11 points separate him from Asashoryu — the data says it's a two-horse race.
- Ozeki KaioELO 2654
- Yokozuna AsashoryuELO 2643 ・ Thrower
- Sekiwake WakanosatoELO 2498 ・ Thrower
- Ozeki ChiyotaikaiELO 2495
- Sekiwake MiyabiyamaELO 2468
Day 1 Bouts to Watch
- Asashoryu (Yokozuna) vs Tochinonada (Komusubi) →head-to-head: Asashoryu leads 17-6; the rating model gives Asashoryu 75%; Thrower vs Thrower — style matchup is even
- Kaio (Ozeki) vs Kotomitsuki (Komusubi) →head-to-head: Kotomitsuki leads 25-17; the rating model gives Kaio 77%
- Dejima (Maegashira 1) vs Chiyotaikai (Ozeki) →head-to-head: Chiyotaikai leads 20-16; the rating model gives Dejima 37%