Basho Preview ・ 場所前展望
Banzuke →Terunofuji chases the rope at November (Kyushu) 2015
November (Kyushu) 2015 opens on November 8. After going 11-4 two basho ago, ozeki Terunofuji forced a playoff at 12-3 last basho, only to see the cup slip away. A championship — or a 13-win basho — here would meet the two-basho standard and make the rope real.
Banzuke Notes
Yokozuna Kakuryu, who won the title at 12-3, goes for back-to-back championships. Yokozuna Hakuho, who withdrew at 0-3-12 last time, returns looking to make amends. Yokozuna Harumafuji, who sat out the entire tournament last time, returns looking to make amends.
Ozeki Kisenosato went a strong 11-4 last basho and belongs in the title conversation. Ozeki Kotoshogiku went a strong 11-4 last basho and belongs in the title conversation.
In the sanyaku ranks, Yoshikaze moves up to Komusubi after going 11-4 at Maegashira 1.
- Yokozuna Kakuryulast basho Yokozuna, 12-3
- Yokozuna Hakuholast basho Yokozuna, 0-3-12
- Yokozuna Harumafujilast basho 0-0-15
- Ozeki Kisenosatolast basho 11-4
- Ozeki Kotoshogikulast basho Ozeki, 11-4
- Komusubi Yoshikazelast basho Maegashira 1, 11-4
Rope Run & Kadoban
After going 11-4 two basho ago, ozeki Terunofuji forced a playoff at 12-3 last basho, only to see the cup slip away. A championship — or a 13-win basho — here would meet the two-basho standard and make the rope real. Fifteen days begin in which he can hardly afford a single loss.
Meanwhile, ozeki Goeido, after finishing 7-8 last basho, enters this one kadoban. It is kadoban No. 2, but he has fought his way out of his only previous one. The numbers add to the worry: his rating of 2538 sits 195 points below his peak of 2733, just No. 10 in makuuchi — thin for an ozeki. Can he summon the rank's pride anyway?
- Ozeki Terunofujilast basho 12-3 ・ runner-up ・ yokozuna bid
- Ozeki Goeidolast basho 7-8 ・ kadoban #2
New Faces in Makuuchi
Making their makuuchi debut: Mitakeumi.
Returning to makuuchi: Shohozan, Toyohibiki.
- Maegashira 10 Shohozanreturning
- Maegashira 11 Mitakeumidebut
- Maegashira 13 Toyohibikireturning
Title Contenders (Rating)
Hakuho tops the pre-basho ELO chart at 2821. On the numbers, these five headline the title race.
解説 ・ InsightHakuho's rating has slipped from 2910 to 2821 over the year — the chasers have an opening.
One caveat: Hakuho, Harumafuji are returning from a layoff — whether the numbers hold is an open question.
- Yokozuna HakuhoELO 2821 ・ Thrower
- Yokozuna KakuryuELO 2746 ・ Pulling Pusher
- Ozeki TerunofujiELO 2685 ・ Belt Grinder
- Ozeki KisenosatoELO 2682
- Yokozuna HarumafujiELO 2655
Day 1 Bouts to Watch
- Kakuryu (Yokozuna) vs Yoshikaze (Komusubi) →head-to-head: Kakuryu leads 11-8; the rating model gives Kakuryu 75%
- Tochinoshin (Komusubi) vs Hakuho (Yokozuna) →head-to-head: Hakuho leads 27-1; the rating model gives Tochinoshin 21%; Belt Grinder vs Thrower — style matchup slightly favors Hakuho
- Harumafuji (Yokozuna) vs Myogiryu (Sekiwake) →head-to-head: Harumafuji leads 13-5; the rating model gives Harumafuji 69%