Basho Report ・ 場所レポート
Torikumi for this day →Hokutoriki leads alone at 10-1
May (Natsu) 2004 has completed day 11. Hokutoriki (Maegashira 1) leads alone at 10-1.
Championship Race
Tamanoshima, Asashoryu trail by one. 4 days remain.
解説 ・ InsightIf Hokutoriki holds on, it would be the first maegashira championship since Mitoizumi in July (Nagoya) 1992.
Upsets
Takamisakari (Maegashira 4) beat Chiyotaikai (Ozeki) by Yorikiri — pre-basho ratings gave just a 13% chance. He had trailed their head-to-head 3-9, which makes it count double.
Kyokutenho (Sekiwake) beat Asashoryu (Yokozuna) by Tsuridashi — pre-basho ratings gave just a 13% chance. He had trailed their head-to-head 2-36, which makes it count double.
Hayateumi (Maegashira 11) beat Shimotori (Maegashira 3) by Yoritaoshi — pre-basho ratings gave just a 32% chance.
Ozeki Watch
Ozeki Chiyotaikai's yokozuna bid is over at 7-4 — the 13-win benchmark is out of reach.
Ozeki Kaio's yokozuna bid is over at 8-3 — the 13-win benchmark is out of reach.
Kadoban ozeki Tochiazuma has been absent since day one. With no path to a winning record, demotion to sekiwake is certain.
解説 ・ InsightChiyotaikai's last two basho: 10 wins, then 13 — 23 in total. Against the "back-to-back championship-level" standard, another title-class run is required here.
His rating of 2588 is at career-peak level (2589) — the rating says he is knocking on the door.
Kaio's last two basho: 10 wins, then 13 — 23 in total. Against the "back-to-back championship-level" standard, another title-class run is required here.
This is kadoban No. 6 — he survived 3 of 5, and fell 2 times.
His pre-basho rating of 2443 sits 250 points below his peak of 2693 — the decline shows in the numbers.
- Ozeki Chiyotaikai7-4 ・ yokozuna bid
- Ozeki Kaio8-3 ・ yokozuna bid
- Ozeki Tochiazuma0-0-11 ・ kadoban #6―――――――――――
Records Decided Today
7 rikishi had their winning or losing records decided today.
- Maegashira 10 Harunoyamamake-koshi (3-8)
- Maegashira 14 Asanowakamake-koshi (3-8)
- Maegashira 7 Kokkaikachi-koshi (8-3)
- Maegashira 6 Iwakiyamakachi-koshi (8-3)
- Maegashira 3 Shimotorimake-koshi (3-8)
- Maegashira 1 Tochinonadamake-koshi (3-8)
- Sekiwake Wakanosatokachi-koshi (8-3)
Tomorrow’s Bouts to Watch
- Asashoryu (Yokozuna, 9-2) vs Wakanosato (Sekiwake, 8-3) →head-to-head: Asashoryu leads 19-10; the rating model gives Asashoryu 86%; Thrower vs Thrower — style matchup is even
- Musoyama (Ozeki, 6-5) vs Kokkai (Maegashira 7, 8-3) →head-to-head: Kokkai leads 4-0; the rating model gives Musoyama 75%; Forward Pusher vs Pulling Pusher — style matchup is even
- Hokutoriki (Maegashira 1, 10-1) vs Kotomitsuki (Komusubi, 6-5) →head-to-head: Kotomitsuki leads 12-4; the rating model gives Hokutoriki 34%