Basho Report ・ 場所レポート
Torikumi for this day →Hokutoriki leads alone at 11-1
May (Natsu) 2004 has completed day 12. Hokutoriki (Maegashira 1) leads alone at 11-1.
Championship Race
Tamanoshima, Asashoryu trail by one. 3 days remain.
解説 ・ InsightIf Hokutoriki holds on, it would be the first maegashira championship since Mitoizumi in July (Nagoya) 1992.
- Maegashira 1 Hokutoriki11-1 ・ W4
- Maegashira 5 Tamanoshima10-2 ・ W5
- Yokozuna Asashoryu10-2
Upsets
Tamanoshima (Maegashira 5) beat Kaio (Ozeki) by Yorikiri — pre-basho ratings gave just a 18% chance. He had trailed their head-to-head 5-19, which makes it count double.
Kokkai (Maegashira 7) beat Musoyama (Ozeki) by Oshidashi — pre-basho ratings gave just a 25% chance.
Jumonji (Maegashira 12) beat Tokitsuumi (Maegashira 4) by Yorikiri — pre-basho ratings gave just a 28% chance.
Ozeki Watch
Ozeki Chiyotaikai's yokozuna bid is over at 8-4 — the 13-win benchmark is out of reach.
Ozeki Kaio's yokozuna bid is over at 8-4 — the 13-win benchmark is out of reach.
Kadoban ozeki Tochiazuma has been absent since day one. With no path to a winning record, demotion to sekiwake is certain.
解説 ・ InsightChiyotaikai's last two basho: 10 wins, then 13 — 23 in total. Against the "back-to-back championship-level" standard, another title-class run is required here.
His rating of 2588 is at career-peak level (2589) — the rating says he is knocking on the door.
Kaio's last two basho: 10 wins, then 13 — 23 in total. Against the "back-to-back championship-level" standard, another title-class run is required here.
This is kadoban No. 6 — he survived 3 of 5, and fell 2 times.
His pre-basho rating of 2443 sits 250 points below his peak of 2693 — the decline shows in the numbers.
- Ozeki Chiyotaikai8-4 ・ yokozuna bid
- Ozeki Kaio8-4 ・ yokozuna bid
- Ozeki Tochiazuma0-0-12 ・ kadoban #6――――――――――――
Records Decided Today
2 rikishi had their winning or losing records decided today.
- Ozeki Chiyotaikaikachi-koshi (8-4)
- Sekiwake Kyokutenhomake-koshi (4-8)
Tomorrow’s Bouts to Watch
- Asashoryu (Yokozuna, 10-2) vs Musoyama (Ozeki, 6-6) →head-to-head: Asashoryu leads 12-3; the rating model gives Asashoryu 88%; Thrower vs Forward Pusher — style matchup slightly favors Asashoryu
- Chiyotaikai (Ozeki, 8-4) vs Kaio (Ozeki, 8-4) →head-to-head: Kaio leads 34-20; the rating model gives Chiyotaikai 50%
- Iwakiyama (Maegashira 6, 9-3) vs Hokutoriki (Maegashira 1, 11-1) →head-to-head: Hokutoriki leads 12-7; the rating model gives Iwakiyama 49%